Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.368820 0.399516 0.432580 0.471016 0.514688 0.563028 0.620948
2024-12-29 0.306713 0.350516 0.401681 0.466729 0.548518 0.649791 0.787737
2025-01-05 0.259812 0.308271 0.368265 0.449861 0.561070 0.712477 0.944320
2025-01-12 0.224205 0.273180 0.336407 0.426841 0.558079 0.751200 1.078808
2025-01-19 0.198436 0.246751 0.311188 0.407131 0.553765 0.784474 1.214170
2025-01-26 0.186444 0.236795 0.306286 0.414339 0.589288 0.886789 1.508621
2025-02-02 0.180636 0.234353 0.311120 0.436028 0.651307 1.051171 2.013670
2025-02-09 0.170792 0.225014 0.304498 0.438294 0.680282 1.162972 2.477035
2025-02-16 0.159636 0.212692 0.291944 0.428790 0.685647 1.227982 2.867675
2025-02-23 0.151907 0.204786 0.285348 0.428295 0.707703 1.336846 3.496073
2025-03-02 0.143609 0.195358 0.275416 0.420545 0.713601 1.409675 4.083762
2025-03-09 0.136495 0.187243 0.266884 0.414204 0.721139 1.489780 4.817077
2025-03-16 0.128945 0.178290 0.256784 0.404822 0.722816 1.562641 5.698074
2025-03-23 0.125084 0.175007 0.256054 0.413498 0.768191 1.789380 8.129635
2025-03-30 0.118528 0.166989 0.246618 0.404076 0.769312 1.880375 10.022214
2025-04-06 0.111207 0.157319 0.233632 0.386143 0.746220 1.879729 11.166088
2025-04-13 0.104732 0.148708 0.221958 0.369765 0.724451 1.877289 12.431651
2025-04-20 0.102205 0.146463 0.221382 0.376288 0.763839 2.135135 19.667910
2025-04-27 0.101554 0.147282 0.226342 0.395198 0.842455 2.632474 45.734152
2025-05-04 0.098681 0.144144 0.223757 0.397205 0.873412 2.942382 92.926803
2025-05-11 0.094740 0.138966 0.216994 0.388993 0.871495 3.077807 160.242697
2025-05-18 0.092015 0.135762 0.213758 0.388571 0.894404 3.390861 540.543580
2025-05-25 0.088737 0.131437 0.208099 0.381852 0.895359 3.570301 2559.423371